6
Zabriskie Point
5yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 57
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#9
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Listowel | BHA57 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA60 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA60 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | BHA61 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA61 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA60 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 3284% of fieldRange 4-27 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 32. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 69% | -0.15 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |