22
Zephron
9yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 43
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#24
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#24
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA47 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA50 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA54 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | BHA57 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | BHA62 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish29th of 3210% of fieldRange 12-32 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 29th of 32.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/09/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 16/10/2025 | 23rd | 25/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 27/10/2025 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/03/2026 | 15th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |