2
Felix Somary
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 72
Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA73 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA72 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA72 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA76 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Cork | BHA80 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA82 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 11/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 23% | -0.43 |