6

Final Boss

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 67

Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y

#15

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when third in 6f maiden at the Curragh last October but little encouragement to glean from all 3 starts this summer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1265/09C8C8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Yie 12616/10C8C8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Sft 12622/10C8C8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 83 · 7f Sft 134 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 83 par19/06C8OR 83C8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 79 · 5f180y Goo 134 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 79 par11/07C8OR 79BHA75 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 75 · 7f Yie 135 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 75 par27/0775OR 75projClass-projected finish: 13th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27GalwayBHA7515th15th0
2026-07-11Navan?6th6th0
2026-06-19Limerick?10th10th0
2025-10-22Navan?5th5th0
2025-10-16Curragh?3rd3rd0
2025-09-05Down Royal?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0916/1022/1019/0611/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20259th40/10%27%+0.27
16/10/20253rd80/10%82%+0.82
22/10/20255th9/153%69%+0.17
19/06/202610th8/158%40%-0.18
11/07/20266th50/10%58%+0.58
27/07/202615th66/10%0%0.00