7
Galley Point
4yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 63
Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y
#14
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | BHA65 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA67 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | BHA69 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 21/09/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |