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17

Hastily

7yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 40

Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y

#16

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable type. Below form this season, though badly hampered when thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Clonmel (1¼m, good) 14 days ago. 8 lb out of the handicap here. Engaged 3.25 Cork Tuesday. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 52 par2/09C9OR 52BHA50 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 50 parBHA49 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 49 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 49 par9/0549OR 49BHA48 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 48 parC8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 15930/05C8C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 43 · 1m Yie 125 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 43 parBHA41 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 41 · 6f GF 123 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 41 par24/0741OR 41BHA40 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f168y Yie 122 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 40 · 6f Sft 124 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 40 par29/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29CorkBHA409th9th0
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA4013th13th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA419th9th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?13th13th0
2026-05-30Tramore?14th14th0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA4815th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0920/0524/0729/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/202515th25/10%7%+0.07
17/10/20259th9/153%11%-0.42
09/05/202616th33/10%0%0.00
20/05/202615th66/10%7%+0.07
30/05/202614th300/10%7%+0.07
12/06/202613th125/10%8%+0.08
24/07/20269th11/142%56%+0.13
16/09/202613th33/10%8%+0.08
29/09/20269th25/10%56%+0.56