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4

Mickey The Steel

8yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 66

Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended a long losing run in 14-runner handicap at Dundalk (7f) 12 days ago. Ths course winner can make his presence felt again despite 5 lb weights rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA67 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 67 · 6f Hvy 130 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 67 par15/0367OR 67BHA67 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 67 · 5f205y Sft 137 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 23 · OR 66 · 7f Sft 136 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 66 par28/0366OR 66BHA67 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 67 · 7f Sft 127 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 67 parBHA65 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 65 · 6f60y Goo 125 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 65 par31/0565OR 65BHA65 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 65 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 65 · 7f45y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 65 par18/0665OR 65BHA65 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 65 · 7f Yie 135 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 parBHA61 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 61 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 61 par18/0961OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA611st1st0
2026-08-01GalwayBHA656th6th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA653rd3rd0
2026-06-07NavanBHA657th7th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA653rd3rd0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA6713th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0319/0418/0618/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
22/03/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12
28/03/20262nd15/261%95%+0.35
19/04/202613th10/147%25%-0.22
31/05/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46
07/06/20267th10/147%70%+0.23
18/06/20263rd20/10%86%+0.86
01/08/20266th10/147%58%+0.11
18/09/20261st9/153%100%+0.47