IvyArcIvyArc
9

Mythical Rock

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 63

Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 7f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Belatedly off the mark at Dundalk in January. Has continued in good heart, twice runner-up before fifth of 12 in handicap at Navan (1m, good) last time. Not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA57 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m2f150y Std 139 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 57 par13/0157OR 57BHA57 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 57 · 1m2f150y Std 139 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 57 parBHA60 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 60 · 1m50y Yie 130 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 60 par25/0460OR 60BHA60 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 142 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA58 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 58 · 1m Yie 128 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 58 par10/0658OR 58C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m Yie 140 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 58 parBHA61 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 61 · 1m30y Gd 131 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 61 par14/0761OR 61C7 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 65 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m20y Goo 136 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 65 par27/0865OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27NavanBHA655th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA612nd2nd0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?10th10th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA582nd2nd0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA606th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0120/0514/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20262nd6/168%92%+0.24
30/01/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
25/04/20267th5/174%57%-0.17
20/05/20266th5/174%67%-0.07
10/06/20262nd18/581%93%+0.12
12/06/202610th6/492%31%-0.61
14/07/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
12/08/20262nd5/174%93%+0.19
27/08/20265th5/174%64%-0.10