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12

Dream Legend

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 66

Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 0m 7f 205y

#1

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sft 13328/09C8C8 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 132BHA52 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 52 · 7f Std 131 · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 52 par19/1152OR 52BHA52 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 52 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 49 · 6f Std 121 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 49 par1/0449OR 49BHA48 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 48 · 7f205y Sft 119 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 48 parBHA57 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 7f Sft 136 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 57 par22/0457OR 57BHA56 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 56 · 7f211y Gd 136 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 56 parBHA69 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 69 · 1m20y Goo 124 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 69 par2/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA6910th10th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA561st1st0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA573rd3rd0
2026-04-11BellewstownBHA481st1st0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA4910th10th0
2025-11-28DundalkBHA526th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0928/1122/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/202511th300/10%9%+0.09
10/10/202514th250/10%0%0.00
19/11/202514th80/10%0%0.00
28/11/20256th80/10%62%+0.62
01/04/202610th18/15%25%+0.20
11/04/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
22/04/20263rd13/266%82%+0.16
02/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
02/09/202610th12/137%36%-0.01