2
Moyassr
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 69
Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 0m 7f 205y
#3
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA65 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | BHA62 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA60 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA65 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA66 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2195% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/07/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 06/08/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 94% | +0.26 |