11
Mythical Rock
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63
Bellewstown · Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap · 0m 7f 205y
#9
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA65 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA61 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA58 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/5 | 81% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 6/4 | 92% | 31% | -0.61 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |