5

Osterode

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 67

Bellewstown · Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden · 5f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on her debut Cork fourth at the second attempt with second of 12 in maiden at Down Royal (5f, good) 26 days ago. Yard having good spell. Leading claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f Gd 12914/06C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f Std 12915/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 1294/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?2nd2nd0
2026-08-15Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-06-14Cork?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0615/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20264th3/184%75%-0.09
15/08/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
04/09/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33