Gold Inn
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 50
Bellewstown · Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden · 0m 5f 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA55 | 14th | 11th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA62 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 11/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |