8

Otsana

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bellewstown · Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden · 0m 5f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 1294/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?3rd3rd0
2026-07-18Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -41.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20265th14/126%60%+0.34
04/09/20263rd2/189%82%-0.08