IvyArcIvyArc
11

Venerated

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bellewstown · Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden · 0m 5f 3y

#12

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Sft 12816/03C8C8 @ Cork 06/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 1286/04C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m75y Hvy 12320/10C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?14th14th0
2025-10-20Gowran Park?11th11th0
2025-04-06Cork?9th9th0
2025-03-16Curragh?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/036/0420/1021/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength19%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20257th25/10%0%0.00
06/04/20259th125/10%11%+0.11
20/10/202511th300/10%0%0.00
21/09/202614th300/10%19%+0.19