IvyArcIvyArc
5

Buddy Batt

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69

Bellewstown · Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 5f 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Dundalk on final 2 starts last year and also scored at the same course in March. Step back in right direction when fourth at Navan earlier in the month and faced a stiff task at the Curragh 4 days ago (well out of weights). Not one to write off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 64 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 64 par12/1164OR 64BHA72 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f Std 136 · below its mark05/12/2025 · OR 72 parBHA77 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 77 · 5f Std 137 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 77 par9/0177OR 77BHA77 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 77 parBHA80 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 80 · 5f Sft 131 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 80 par19/0480OR 80BHA80 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 80 · 5f Std 140 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA77 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 77 · 5f Gd 120 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 77 par28/0677OR 77BHA73 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 73 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 73 parBHA69 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 69 · 5f Yie 119 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 69 par26/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA6910th10th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA734th4th0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA7716th16th0
2026-05-26DundalkBHA806th6th0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA805th5th0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA771st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1113/0328/0626/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
05/12/20252nd9/488%83%-0.05
09/01/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
13/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
19/04/20265th7/163%56%-0.08
26/05/20266th7/282%55%-0.27
28/06/202616th33/10%0%0.00
02/09/20264th40/10%80%+0.80
26/09/202610th33/10%53%+0.53