3
Gotta Catch'em All
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 72
Bellewstown · Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 5f 3y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA74 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA75 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA68 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |