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6

Harry's Hill

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69

Bellewstown · Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 5f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on promise of previous couple of efforts when winning comfortably at the Curragh last month. Out of his depth back there 4 days ago so could well have a say in proceedings here back from his 'proper' mark. Also 2-3 at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA78 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 par16/0578OR 78BHA76 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 76 · 5f Std 136 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 76 parBHA70 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 140 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 70 par7/0670OR 70BHA66 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 5f Gd 128 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 66 parBHA66 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 66 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 66 par28/0666OR 66BHA68 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 138 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 68 parBHA67 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 67 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 67 par18/0767OR 67BHA69 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 139 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA69 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 69 · 5f Yie 119 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 69 par26/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA6915th15th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA691st1st0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA672nd2nd0
2026-07-04NaasBHA686th6th0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA6610th10th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA666th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0514/0618/0726/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
26/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
07/06/202612th16/116%45%+0.29
14/06/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
28/06/202610th40/10%40%+0.40
04/07/20266th7/163%55%-0.09
18/07/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
16/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
26/09/202615th20/10%26%+0.26