Curlin's Magic
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |