Heavenly Light
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 81
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 09/02/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 15/03/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |