8
Looks First
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |