Miss Lao
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 74
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |