Princess Becca
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |