4
Santagata
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |