7
Bouquetry
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 59
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |