1
Central To Success
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +27.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 10/01/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |