6
Bellamy
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 64
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 15/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |