Chris's Song
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 65
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |