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2

Lough Currane

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 69

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 05/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 74 · 6f Fm 121 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 74 par5/10C9OR 74C9 @ Aqueduct 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f 122 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 73 parC9 @ Aqueduct 26/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 75 par26/12C9OR 75C9 @ Aqueduct 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f 122 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 77 parC9 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 6f 126 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par10/04C9OR 59C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 60 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 6f 126 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 61 par23/05C9OR 61C9 @ Saratoga 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 62 parC9 @ Saratoga 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 65 par27/08C9OR 65projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-08-05Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-05-23Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-04-10Aqueduct?2nd2nd0
2026-01-11Aqueduct?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1011/0123/0527/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/202510th25/10%18%+0.18
29/11/20253rd8/158%71%+0.14
26/12/20258th8/158%36%-0.22
11/01/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
10/04/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
02/05/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
23/05/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
05/08/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86
27/08/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17