4
Mr R T
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |