Portadown Lad
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |