8

Tampa Storm

3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 63

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS14/11C6C9 @ Aqueduct 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f 119 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 71 par7/12C9OR 71C9 @ Aqueduct 02/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f 122 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 62 par2/01C9OR 62C9 @ Aqueduct 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 62 par11/02C9OR 62C9 @ Aqueduct 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 6f Slo 122 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 58 par5/03C9OR 58C9 @ Saratoga 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 60 par7/09C9OR 60projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-03-05Aqueduct?3rd3rd0
2026-02-11Aqueduct?4th4th0
2026-01-02Aqueduct?5th5th0
2025-12-07Aqueduct?4th4th0
2025-11-14Aqueduct?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/117/122/0111/025/037/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20258th40/10%22%+0.22
07/12/20254th6/168%40%-0.28
02/01/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
11/02/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
05/03/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
07/09/20264th12/137%70%+0.33