12
Trapping Hands
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 52
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Aqueduct | ? | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |