Grazie
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |