8
Malu
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 03/04/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |