4
Rina's Revenge
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |