3
Sweetest Princess
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |