Bladey Lady
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 64
Catterick · Racing To School Nursery · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 46% | -0.17 |