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2

Five Years

2yo Colt · 9-7

Catterick · EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Starman half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Mariha. Low-key start in pair of turf novice/maidens at up to 7f in recent weeks but represents a top stable and he could be an interesting type for nurseries on the back of this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 13327/0832 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/092projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York29th8th+1
2026-08-27Carlisle310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +70.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/202610th15/261%10%-0.51
06/09/20269th125/10%20%+0.20