9
Fairydale
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 51
Catterick · Watch All Races Live On RacingTV Handicap · 1m 7f 189y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |