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Lady Phoebe

5yo Mare · 9-12 · OR 55

Catterick · Watch All Races Live On RacingTV Handicap · 1m 7f 189y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

After a spell over hurdles, produced a career best on the Flat when winning at Pontefract (21.5f) in April. Backed that up with in-frame efforts at around 2m the next twice, before a lesser effort back hurdling at Hexham (23f) in June. Interesting returned to the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f124y GS 151 · HIGHER CLASS28/1145 @ Newcastle 15/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m4f62y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 93 par5 @ Sedgefield 19/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 90 · 2m3f188y Sft 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 90 par19/025OR 905 @ Newcastle 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 88 · 2m4f62y GS 159 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Newcastle 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 2m4f62y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/03/2026 · OR 85 par31/035OR 856 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 49 · 2m5f139y Goo 125 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 54 · 2m56y Std 135 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 54 par19/056OR 546 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 54 · 2m1f27y Goo 124 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 54 par5 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 84 · 2m7f63y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 84 par21/065OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Hexham58th7th+1
2026-06-08Pontefract62nd2nd0
2026-05-19Newcastle64th4th0
2026-04-21Pontefract61st1st0
2026-03-31Newcastle54th3rd+1
2026-03-03Newcastle54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/113/0319/0521/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20256th100/10%62%+0.62
15/01/202610th50/10%40%+0.40
19/02/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
03/03/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
31/03/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
21/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
19/05/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
08/06/20262nd15/261%91%+0.30
21/06/20268th4/179%30%-0.49