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6

Muhib

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 46

Catterick · Watch All Races Live On RacingTV Handicap · 1m 7f 189y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden but has made the frame on numerous occasions this year, soon leaving behind a below-par run when fourth of 12 at Thirsk (1½m) 16 days ago. Could be in the mix as he goes up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 45 · 1m4f13y Gd 126 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 45 par11/056OR 456 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 45 · 1m4f5y Goo 122 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m3f197y GF 121 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 45 par5/066OR 456 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 45 · 1m6f Goo 121 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 45 · 1m4f5y Goo 127 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 45 par7/076OR 456 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 45 · 1m4f5y Goo 135 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 46 · 1m4f13y Goo 129 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 46 par4/086OR 466 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m4f98y Std 130 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m4f8y Goo 130 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 46 par14/096OR 46projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk64th4th0
2026-08-20Newcastle68th8th0
2026-08-04Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-07-17Pontefract62nd2nd0
2026-07-07Pontefract63rd3rd0
2026-06-25Nottingham63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0525/064/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20263rd5/174%85%+0.11
22/05/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
05/06/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
25/06/20263rd15/261%33%-0.27
07/07/20263rd28/10%80%+0.80
17/07/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
04/08/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
20/08/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
14/09/20264th11/142%73%+0.31