4

Beyond The Bar

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 73

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to his best when making all in handicap over this C&D in July. Hasn't gone on from that effort since, though, unable to get his own way out in front when ninth of 10 at Musselburgh last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/1044 @ Newmarket 01/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m1f GS 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 78 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 78 par26/044OR 784 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m75y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m68y Goo 135 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 74 par17/065OR 745 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 72 · 7f6y GF 135 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 72 par3 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 75 · 1m Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 75 par27/073OR 754 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f75y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f15y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 74 par24/084OR 74projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Musselburgh49th8th+1
2026-08-12Beverley47th6th+1
2026-07-27Ripon35th3rd+2
2026-07-08Catterick51st1st0
2026-06-17Hamilton55th5th0
2026-05-19Nottingham47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1019/0527/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
01/11/20256th11/486%0%-0.86
26/04/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
19/05/20267th18/15%25%+0.20
17/06/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
08/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
27/07/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
12/08/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
24/08/20269th22/10%11%+0.11