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Diamont Katie

4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 73

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a first handicap success at Pontefract (6f) in April and runner-up 3 times since, the latest at Hamilton (6f) early this month (the winner scoring again next time). Met some interference when mid-field at Chester (7f) 19 days ago, so she could be in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 6f16y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 69 par13/034OR 695 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 7f3y Gd 134 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 67 par28/045OR 675 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 141 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Catterick 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 7f6y GF 142 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 74 par22/065OR 744 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 74 · 7f15y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 74 par3 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 74 par28/073OR 745 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 74 · 6f6y Sft 139 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 74 · 7f1y Goo 137 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 74 par11/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester57th7th0
2026-09-02Hamilton52nd2nd0
2026-07-28Goodwood311th9th+2
2026-06-30Musselburgh42nd1st+1
2026-06-22Catterick54th4th0
2026-06-02Pontefract53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/032/0628/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
21/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
28/04/20262nd5/493%80%-0.13
02/06/20263rd3/184%71%-0.13
22/06/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
30/06/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
28/07/202611th22/10%47%+0.47
02/09/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
11/09/20267th13/266%50%-0.16