7
Evocative Spark
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67
Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Doncaster | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |