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Golden Strike

5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 74

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a second win of the season in big-field handicap at York in May and has continued in good heart since, only narrowly denied in 14-runner contest at Newmarket 11 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 67 par6/025OR 675 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 70 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 72 par6/035OR 724 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 72 · 7f6y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 22 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 72 par23/054OR 723 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 75 · 7f192y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 75 par24/074OR 754 @ Carlisle 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f195y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Newmarket 19/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 73 · 7f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 73 par19/094OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newmarket42nd1st+1
2026-08-19Carlisle43rd2nd+1
2026-07-24York45th4th+1
2026-06-27York37th5th+2
2026-05-23York41st0th+1
2026-03-29Doncaster412th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0229/0324/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength95%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
20/02/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09
06/03/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
29/03/202612th7/282%27%-0.55
23/05/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
27/06/20267th9/276%54%-0.22
24/07/20265th11/271%76%+0.05
19/08/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
19/09/20262nd15/261%92%+0.32