8

Kiss Me My Love
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 65
Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |