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10

Pit Boss

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 60

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Regular slow starter who managed to win twice over 6f at Newcastle earlier in the year. After 6 months off, probably needed the run when well held at this course 22 days ago, but others still more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 54 · 7f14y Std 129 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 54 par31/016OR 546 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 54 · 6f Std 129 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Newcastle 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Sta 129 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 57 par14/026OR 576 @ Newcastle 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 128 · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 6f Std 134 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 58 par6/036OR 586 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 128 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 58 · 6f Std 133 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 58 par21/036OR 585 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Std 124 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 61 · 5f212y Goo 137 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 61 par8/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Catterick69th10th−1
2026-03-27Newcastle53rd3rd0
2026-03-21Newcastle61st2nd−1
2026-03-12Newcastle63rd4th−1
2026-03-06Newcastle63rd4th−1
2026-02-19Newcastle62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0119/0221/038/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
04/02/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
14/02/20262nd10/382%89%+0.06
19/02/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
06/03/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
12/03/20263rd11/486%80%-0.06
21/03/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
27/03/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
08/09/20269th33/10%0%0.00