Ubetterseethis
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 66
Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 6y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 23/05/2026 | 19th | 18/1 | 5% | 5% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |