9
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8yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 62
Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 6y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 18/5 | 81% | 43% | -0.38 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 27/03/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |